IA-04 Democratic nominee?
Price history — David Dawson
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
99¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · David Dawson
at 99¢
Price gap
Kalshi99¢
→OU's fair70¢
−29¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
David Dawson is a former state representative with significantly more campaign visibility and institutional background than his primary opponents in the IA-04 race.
Wide edge+29¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.