Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
Price history — Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES19¢ (19%)
NO81¢ (81%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 2.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 19¢ · pays 5.3×
Price gap
Kalshi19¢
→OU's fair65¢
+46¢ underpriced · pays 5.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Proposed legislation like the JUDGES Act and the appointment of nominees deemed not qualified by the ABA indicate active efforts to reshape the federal judiciary.
Wide edge+46¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.