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Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Price history — Before Jan 20, 2029

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

56¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Before Jan 20, 2029★ BEST56¢
Before 202721¢
Kalshi • Volume: 425.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Before Jan 20, 2029
at 56¢
Price gap
Kalshi56¢
→
OU's fair45¢
−11¢ overpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate

Trump has repeatedly threatened to use the Insurrection Act for domestic law enforcement and mass deportations according to reports from early 2026.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.