How low will the S&P get this year?

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How low will the S&P get this year?

Price history — 6,300 or below

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

6,300 or below★ BEST36¢

6,200 or below30¢

6,000 or below28¢

6,100 or below25¢

5,900 or below21¢

Kalshi • Volume: 641.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01

Kalshi · Financials

OU's Pick

YES · 6,300 or below

at 36¢

Price gap

Kalshi36¢

→

OU's fair56¢

+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.8×

Confidence

Moderate

Goldman Sachs projects a 12 percent total return for the S&P 500 in 2026 which suggests the index will likely trade near or below current levels during typical market volatility.

Wide edge+20¢

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.