Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?
Price history — Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 235.5K contracts • Updated 32m agoCloses: 2027-03-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Kalshi94¢
→OU's fair98¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Iran is consistently categorized as an authoritarian regime with a score well below the threshold for a flawed democracy in the most recent EIU reports.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.