Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?
Price history — Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES26¢ (26%)
NO74¢ (74%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 5.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES at 26¢ · pays 3.8×
Price gap
Kalshi26¢
→OU's fair45¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 3.8×
Confidence
Low
Ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential war-related inventory shifts make trade volumes highly volatile and difficult to predict without current year-to-date data.
Wide edge+19¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.