Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in civil court?
Price history — Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in civil court?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES29¢ (29%)
NO71¢ (71%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 5.8K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 29¢ · pays 3.4×
Price gap
Kalshi29¢
→OU's fair35¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 3.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Federal courts have ruled that civil lawsuits against Donald Trump regarding the January 6th insurrection can proceed because he lacks absolute immunity for those actions.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.