Will Israel Katz leave Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES43¢ (43%)
NO57¢ (57%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 2.6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 57¢ · pays 1.8×
Price gap
Kalshi57¢
→OU's fair65¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Israel Katz remains active in his role as of May 2026 and the Israeli political environment currently shows no immediate signs of a cabinet reshuffle or resignation.
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