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Who will win the next Kenyan National Assembly election?

Price history — Coalition including UDA

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

44¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Coalition including ODM46¢
Coalition including UDA★ BEST44¢
Coalition including DCP0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2028-08-30
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Coalition including UDA
at 44¢
Price gap
Kalshi44¢
→
OU's fair44¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent President William Ruto's UDA party maintains a structural advantage through state resources and existing legislative control despite recent political shifts.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.