Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?
Price history — Coalition including ODM
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
4¢
4¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 9.4K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2028-08-30
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Coalition including ODM
at 4¢
Price gap
Kalshi4¢
→OU's fair8¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 25×
Confidence
Low
The Orange Democratic Movement maintains a strong regional presence in Western and Coastal Kenya while the ruling UDA coalition faces internal alignment challenges.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.