KS-04 Republican nominee?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
96¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 13.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Ron Estes
at 96¢
Price gap
Kalshi96¢
→OU's fair88¢
−8¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Ron Estes has held the seat since 2017 and faces only a perennial candidate in the primary according to FEC filings and Ballotpedia.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.