OVER / UNDER
KXLAIOUT-LCHI ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLAIOUT-LCHI ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLAIOUT-LCHI ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLAIOUT-LCHI ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLAIOUT-LCHI ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLAIOUT-LCHI ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

Price history — Before January 1, 2028

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

35¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Before January 1, 2028★ BEST35¢
Before July 1, 202722¢
Before January 1, 20271¢
Before July 1, 20261¢
Kalshi • Volume: 16.8K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2028-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Before January 1, 2028
at 35¢
Price gap
Kalshi35¢
→
OU's fair15¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 2.9×
Confidence
Moderate

President Lai delivered a 2026 New Year address and the opposition currently lacks the supermajority required for a successful impeachment or removal from office.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.