Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
79¢
19¢
1¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 295K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-06-02
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Karen Bass
at 79¢
Price gap
Kalshi79¢
→OU's fair65¢
−14¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass maintains a significant advantage in fundraising and name recognition for the June 2 primary election according to recent reporting.
Wide edge+14¢
High volume23k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.