Who will advance in the Los Angeles mayoral election?
Price history — Karen Bass
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
92¢
77¢
19¢
Kalshi • Volume: 74.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2028-06-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Karen Bass
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
→OU's fair88¢
−4¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass leads in early polling and historical trends strongly favor sitting mayors advancing to the runoff in Los Angeles municipal elections.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.