Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?
Price history — Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES10¢ (10%)
NO90¢ (90%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 297.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES at 10¢ · pays 10×
Price gap
Kalshi10¢
→OU's fair29¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 10×
Confidence
Moderate
Major brokerages like Goldman Sachs and Nomura forecast only one or two small cuts for the remainder of the year while others expect no further action until 2027.
Wide edge+19¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.