Who will leave Congress before July?
Price history — Henry Cuellar
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
14¢
6¢
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Kalshi • Volume: 156K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-07-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Henry Cuellar
at 1¢
Price gap
Kalshi1¢
→OU's fair15¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 100×
Confidence
Moderate
Henry Cuellar faces significant legal challenges following a federal indictment in May 2024 which historically increases the likelihood of a mid-term departure from Congress.
Wide edge+14¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.