OVER / UNDER
KXLEAVESTARMER ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLEAVESTARMER ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLEAVESTARMER ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLEAVESTARMER ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLEAVESTARMER ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXLEAVESTARMER ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Keir Starmer departure announced?

Price history — Before Sep 1, 2026

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

70¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Before Sep 1, 2026★ BEST70¢
Before Aug 1, 2026 61¢
Before Jul 1, 202627¢
Before Jun 1, 2026 2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8M contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-09-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Before Sep 1, 2026
at 70¢
Price gap
Kalshi70¢
OU's fair52¢
18¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate

Keir Starmer maintains a stable majority in Parliament following his 2024 election victory and no credible reports suggest an imminent resignation or leadership challenge.

Wide edge+18¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.