Will the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives before the 2026 midterms?
Price history — Will the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives before the 2026 midterms?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES18¢ (18%)
NO82¢ (82%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 28.1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-08
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 82¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Kalshi82¢
→OU's fair95¢
+13¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Republicans currently hold a unified majority in the House and there are no reports of mass resignations or party switching that would flip control before the November elections.
Wide edge+13¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.