How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
Price history — 7 or more
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
22¢
19¢
18¢
15¢
10¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 190.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · 7 or more
at 19¢
Price gap
Kalshi19¢
→OU's fair19¢
Confidence
Low
Historical data shows that high numbers of incumbent primary losses are rare but often occur in clusters during cycles with significant intra-party friction.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.