How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?
Price history — 0
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
71¢
18¢
5¢
1¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 117.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · 0
at 71¢
Price gap
Kalshi71¢
→OU's fair62¢
−9¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Low
Incumbent Senate Democrats rarely lose primaries and no high-profile successful primary challenges have been reported as of May 2026.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.