How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
Price history — Exactly 1
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
73¢
19¢
3¢
1¢
1¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 36K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Exactly 1
at 19¢
Price gap
Kalshi19¢
→OU's fair19¢
Confidence
Low
Historical midterm trends and current polling suggest a narrow map where only a few Democratic incumbents face highly competitive races in battleground states.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.