How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
28¢
24¢
8¢
7¢
6¢
6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 3.1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Exactly 1
at 24¢
Price gap
Kalshi24¢
→OU's fair35¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 4.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data shows a high incumbent reelection rate of 76.5 percent which suggests only a small number of the 18 running incumbents will likely lose their seats.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.