Makerfield by-election winner?
Price history — Labour
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
68¢
28¢
4¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 104.9K contracts • Updated 34m agoCloses: 2028-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Labour
at 68¢
Price gap
Kalshi68¢
→OU's fair82¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Labour has held Makerfield since its creation in 1983 and Andy Burnham is a high-profile potential candidate for the seat in the upcoming June 2026 by-election.
Wide edge+14¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.