Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jan 1, 2027?
Price history — Will the U.S. Department of the Treasury or the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E relief for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jan 1, 2027?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES55¢ (55%)
NO45¢ (45%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 10.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 45¢ · pays 2.2×
Price gap
Kalshi45¢
→OU's fair55¢
+10¢ underpriced · pays 2.2×
Confidence
Moderate
The Treasury and IRS have publicly signaled an intent to provide tax guidance following the DOJ marijuana rescheduling process but have not yet issued a formal relief announcement.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.