Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
Price history — Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES31¢ (31%)
NO69¢ (69%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 40.4K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 69¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Kalshi69¢
→OU's fair85¢
+16¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
A search snippet from January 2026 indicates Trump is threatening to invoke the Insurrection Act against protests but actual martial law remains a high legal and political bar.
Wide edge+16¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.