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Alabama Senate margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 15+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

78¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3Thu 6/4Fri 6/5TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 13+ pts87¢
Republicans, 15+ pts★ BEST78¢
Republicans, 17+ pts69¢
Republicans, 19+ pts60¢
Republicans, 21+ pts51¢
Republicans, 23+ pts42¢
Republicans, 25+ pts30¢
Republicans, 27+ pts20¢
Republicans, 29+ pts16¢
Republicans, 31+ pts11¢
Republicans, 33+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.2K contracts • Updated 1m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 15+ pts
at 78¢
Price gap
Kalshi78¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Alabama is a deep red state where Republicans consistently win statewide elections by double-digit margins and current primary data shows strong party consolidation.

Wide edge+17¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.