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Arkansas's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 10+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

89¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 10+ pts★ BEST89¢
Republicans, 13+ pts85¢
Republicans, 16+ pts75¢
Republicans, 19+ pts65¢
Republicans, 22+ pts56¢
Republicans, 25+ pts48¢
Republicans, 28+ pts37¢
Republicans, 31+ pts19¢
Republicans, 34+ pts12¢
Kalshi • Volume: 20.9K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 10+ pts
at 89¢
Price gap
Kalshi89¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Arkansas's 3rd District is a Republican stronghold where the incumbent Steve Womack consistently wins by margins exceeding thirty points in recent election cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.