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Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 14+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

80¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 14+ pts★ BEST80¢
Republicans, 16+ pts74¢
Republicans, 18+ pts68¢
Republicans, 20+ pts62¢
Republicans, 22+ pts57¢
Republicans, 24+ pts51¢
Republicans, 26+ pts45¢
Republicans, 28+ pts41¢
Republicans, 30+ pts36¢
Republicans, 32+ pts32¢
Republicans, 34+ pts29¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.2K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 14+ pts
at 80¢
Price gap
Kalshi80¢
→
OU's fair95¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Tom Cotton holds a massive fundraising advantage of over twelve million dollars compared to his Democratic opponent's one point six million dollars.

Wide edge+15¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.