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Arizona's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

20¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 1+ pts★ BEST20¢
Republicans, 4+ pts13¢
Republicans, 7+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 37.3K contracts • Updated 31m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 1+ pts
at 20¢
Price gap
Kalshi20¢
→
OU's fair20¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent David Schweikert won this competitive district by less than two points in 2024 and the seat remains a top national target for both parties in 2026.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.