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Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 39+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

92¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 39+ pts★ BEST92¢
Democrats, 42+ pts78¢
Democrats, 45+ pts69¢
Democrats, 48+ pts58¢
Democrats, 51+ pts48¢
Democrats, 54+ pts38¢
Democrats, 57+ pts27¢
Democrats, 60+ pts17¢
Democrats, 63+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 11.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 39+ pts
at 92¢
Price gap
Kalshi92¢
→
OU's fair92¢
Confidence
Low

Arizona's 3rd District is a safe Democratic seat where Ruben Gallego won by over 50 points in 2022 and national trends in 2026 suggest continued Democratic dominance.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.