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Arizona's 5th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 23+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

14¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 2+ pts75¢
Republicans, 5+ pts66¢
Republicans, 8+ pts57¢
Republicans, 11+ pts49¢
Republicans, 14+ pts40¢
Republicans, 17+ pts32¢
Republicans, 20+ pts23¢
Republicans, 23+ pts★ BEST14¢
Republicans, 26+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 23+ pts
at 14¢
Price gap
Kalshi14¢
→
OU's fair14¢
Confidence
Low

Arizona's 5th District is a safe Republican seat where the incumbent won by over twenty-five points in the previous general election cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.