OVER / UNDER
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Arizona's 6th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

74¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 1+ pts★ BEST74¢
Democrats, 4+ pts53¢
Democrats, 7+ pts35¢
Democrats, 10+ pts10¢
Democrats, 13+ pts6¢
Democrats, 16+ pts1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 6K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 1+ pts
at 74¢
Price gap
Kalshi74¢
→
OU's fair55¢
−19¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate

A Democratic candidate significantly outraised the incumbent in early 2026 while national trends show the party gaining ground in competitive districts.

Wide edge+19¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.