Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Price history — Republicans, 5+ pts
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
10¢
6¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.1K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 5+ pts
at 6¢
Price gap
Kalshi6¢
→OU's fair5¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 18×
Confidence
Low
Democratic fundraising advantages and early 2026 polling suggest a difficult environment for Republicans to achieve a large margin of victory in this district.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.