Arizona's 7th District margin of victory

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Arizona's 7th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price

Democrats, 22+ pts★ BEST90¢

Democrats, 25+ pts79¢

Democrats, 28+ pts69¢

Democrats, 31+ pts59¢

Democrats, 34+ pts48¢

Democrats, 37+ pts38¢

Democrats, 40+ pts27¢

Democrats, 43+ pts18¢

Democrats, 46+ pts7¢

Kalshi • Volume: 3.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · Democrats, 22+ pts

at 90¢

Price gap

Kalshi90¢

→

OU's fair95¢

+5¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×

Confidence

Moderate

Adelita Grijalva won the 2025 special election in this heavily Democratic district where the party historically maintains margins exceeding twenty-five percentage points.

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Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.