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Arizona's 9th District margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republicans, 9+ pts★ BEST85¢
Republicans, 12+ pts78¢
Republicans, 15+ pts71¢
Republicans, 18+ pts61¢
Republicans, 21+ pts49¢
Republicans, 24+ pts46¢
Republicans, 27+ pts35¢
Republicans, 30+ pts18¢
Republicans, 33+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 12.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 9+ pts
at 85¢
Price gap
Kalshi85¢
→
OU's fair85¢
Confidence
Low

The incumbent Republican won the 2024 election by over thirty points and the district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.