OVER / UNDER
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Arizona Governor margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 2+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

68¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 2+ pts★ BEST68¢
Democrats, 5+ pts53¢
Democrats, 8+ pts38¢
Democrats, 11+ pts27¢
Democrats, 14+ pts16¢
Democrats, 17+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 2+ pts
at 68¢
Price gap
Kalshi68¢
→
OU's fair68¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Katie Hobbs won by less than one percentage point in 2022 and Arizona remains a highly competitive swing state for the 2026 cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.