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California Governor Primary margin of victory

Price history — Tom Steyer, 1+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

6¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Tom Steyer, 1+ pts★ BEST6¢
Tom Steyer, 5+ pts5¢
Tom Steyer, 3+ pts3¢
Kalshi • Volume: 21.2K contracts • Updated 32m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Tom Steyer, 1+ pts
at 6¢
Price gap
Kalshi6¢
→
OU's fair6¢
Confidence
Low

Recent polling shows Tom Steyer in a tight lead for the primary but the crowded field makes a significant margin of victory uncertain.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.