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Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

52¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 3+ pts★ BEST52¢
Republicans, 6+ pts37¢
Republicans, 9+ pts29¢
Republicans, 12+ pts16¢
Republicans, 15+ pts10¢
Republicans, 18+ pts9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 11.3K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 3+ pts
at 52¢
Price gap
Kalshi52¢
→
OU's fair65¢
+13¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate

Republican Jeff Hurd won the district by five percentage points in 2024 and the seat is currently rated as Lean Republican for the upcoming 2026 midterm cycle.

Wide edge+13¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.