OVER / UNDER
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Colorado's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 11+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

18¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 2+ pts55¢
Republicans, 5+ pts43¢
Republicans, 8+ pts31¢
Republicans, 11+ pts★ BEST18¢
Republicans, 14+ pts8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 11+ pts
at 18¢
Price gap
Kalshi18¢
→
OU's fair38¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 5.6×
Confidence
Moderate

Lauren Boebert won the seat by twelve points in 2024 and the district maintains a strong Republican lean for the 2026 midterm cycle.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.