OVER / UNDER
KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXMIDTERMMOV-CT01D ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Connecticut's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 22+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

87¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 22+ pts★ BEST87¢
Democrats, 25+ pts80¢
Democrats, 28+ pts74¢
Democrats, 34+ pts49¢
Democrats, 43+ pts2¢
Democrats, 31+ pts2¢
Democrats, 46+ pts2¢
Democrats, 37+ pts0¢
Democrats, 40+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 34.2K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 22+ pts
at 87¢
Price gap
Kalshi87¢
→
OU's fair87¢
Confidence
Low

John Larson won the 2022 election by 22.6 percentage points and the 2024 results show Democrats maintaining a strong hold on the district despite a primary challenge.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.