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Connecticut's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 14+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

82¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Democrats, 14+ pts★ BEST82¢
Democrats, 17+ pts68¢
Democrats, 20+ pts54¢
Democrats, 23+ pts40¢
Democrats, 26+ pts25¢
Democrats, 29+ pts10¢
Democrats, 32+ pts8¢
Democrats, 35+ pts5¢
Democrats, 38+ pts2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.6K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 14+ pts
at 82¢
Price gap
Kalshi82¢
OU's fair85¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Rosa DeLauro has consistently won by double digits in a district with a strong Democratic lean and no significant Republican opposition reported for the 2026 cycle.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.