OVER / UNDER
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Connecticut's 4th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 21+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

84¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 21+ pts★ BEST84¢
Democrats, 24+ pts74¢
Democrats, 27+ pts64¢
Democrats, 30+ pts55¢
Democrats, 33+ pts45¢
Democrats, 36+ pts35¢
Democrats, 39+ pts26¢
Democrats, 42+ pts16¢
Democrats, 45+ pts6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 514 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 21+ pts
at 84¢
Price gap
Kalshi84¢
→
OU's fair64¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Jim Himes has won by margins exceeding twenty points in recent cycles and maintains a massive fundraising advantage over his potential Republican challengers.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.