Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory
Price history — Democrats, 3+ pts
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
89¢
85¢
80¢
67¢
53¢
38¢
26¢
18¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 23.9K contracts • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 3+ pts
at 89¢
Price gap
Kalshi89¢
→OU's fair89¢
Confidence
Low
Jahana Hayes won the 2024 election by approximately four percentage points and the district remains a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat in recent cycles.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.