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Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 3+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

89¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24Mon 5/25TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Democrats, 3+ pts★ BEST89¢
Democrats, 6+ pts85¢
Democrats, 9+ pts80¢
Democrats, 12+ pts67¢
Democrats, 15+ pts53¢
Democrats, 18+ pts38¢
Democrats, 21+ pts26¢
Democrats, 24+ pts18¢
Democrats, 27+ pts0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 23.9K contracts • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 3+ pts
at 89¢
Price gap
Kalshi89¢
OU's fair89¢
Confidence
Low

Jahana Hayes won the 2024 election by approximately four percentage points and the district remains a competitive but Democratic-leaning seat in recent cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.