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Connecticut Governor margin of victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Democrats, 8+ pts82¢
Democrats, 11+ pts67¢
Democrats, 14+ pts★ BEST52¢
Democrats, 17+ pts37¢
Democrats, 20+ pts30¢
Democrats, 23+ pts23¢
Democrats, 26+ pts17¢
Democrats, 29+ pts10¢
Democrats, 32+ pts3¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 14+ pts
at 52¢
Price gap
Kalshi52¢
→
OU's fair52¢
Confidence
Low

Connecticut is a reliably blue state but recent gubernatorial margins have fluctuated significantly making a double-digit blowout uncertain.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.