Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 93¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Kalshi93¢
→OU's fair95¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Florida's 4th District is a Republican stronghold and redistricting has further increased GOP advantages in the state for the 2026 cycle.
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