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Florida's 12th District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 19+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

35¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 19+ pts★ BEST35¢
Republicans, 22+ pts30¢
Republicans, 28+ pts27¢
Republicans, 25+ pts26¢
Republicans, 31+ pts18¢
Republicans, 34+ pts13¢
Republicans, 37+ pts10¢
Republicans, 40+ pts5¢
Republicans, 43+ pts1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 7.6K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 19+ pts
at 35¢
Price gap
Kalshi35¢
→
OU's fair35¢
Confidence
Low

Incumbent Gus Bilirakis has historically won this district by margins exceeding thirty percentage points and maintains a significant fundraising advantage over his opponents.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.