Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
Price history — Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Florida's 16th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 500 contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
NO at 89¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Kalshi89¢
→OU's fair95¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Low
Florida's 16th District is a Republican stronghold and Democrats have not won this seat or come within two points in recent election cycles.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.