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Florida Senate margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 4+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

62¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 2+ pts72¢
Republicans, 4+ pts★ BEST62¢
Republicans, 6+ pts51¢
Republicans, 8+ pts41¢
Republicans, 10+ pts30¢
Republicans, 12+ pts20¢
Republicans, 14+ pts14¢
Republicans, 18+ pts9¢
Republicans, 16+ pts9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 572.5 contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 4+ pts
at 62¢
Price gap
Kalshi62¢
→
OU's fair82¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate

Florida has trended significantly Republican in recent cycles and Ashley Moody maintains a substantial fundraising advantage over her Democratic challengers.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.