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Hawaii's 1st District margin of victory

Price history — Democrats, 30+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

86¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democrats, 30+ pts★ BEST86¢
Democrats, 33+ pts76¢
Democrats, 36+ pts67¢
Democrats, 39+ pts57¢
Democrats, 42+ pts47¢
Democrats, 45+ pts37¢
Democrats, 48+ pts27¢
Democrats, 51+ pts17¢
Democrats, 54+ pts7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 692 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democrats, 30+ pts
at 86¢
Price gap
Kalshi86¢
→
OU's fair86¢
Confidence
Low

Hawaii's 1st District is a Democratic stronghold where the incumbent consistently wins by margins exceeding thirty points in recent general election cycles.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.