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Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory

Price history — Republicans, 10+ pts

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

7¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Republicans, 1+ pts26¢
Republicans, 4+ pts19¢
Republicans, 7+ pts11¢
Republicans, 10+ pts★ BEST7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republicans, 10+ pts
at 7¢
Price gap
Kalshi7¢
→
OU's fair18¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 14×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Zach Nunn won by only four points in 2024 and the Cook Political Report indicates Iowa Republicans are currently facing a more competitive environment.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.